Championship Predictions: 2023-24 December UpdateChampionship Predictions: 2023-24 December Update

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The Championship season is heating up! With Leicester City already dominating the top spot and the fight for the remaining automatic promotion and playoff places intensifying, here’s a breakdown of the latest predictions from the Opta supercomputer:

Automatic Promotion: (Championship Predictions)

  • Leicester City: Lock them in. The Foxes are almost guaranteed a return to the Premier League, with the supercomputer predicting they’ll finish top in 98.6% of simulations. 100 points? Watch out!
  • The Battle for Second: Ipswich, Southampton, and Leeds are locked in a thrilling fight for the second automatic promotion spot. Currently, Ipswich holds a slight edge with 57.7% of simulations, but Southampton’s recent surge has put them in the mix at 20.7%. Leeds can’t be ignored either, sitting at 21.6%.
  • West Brom in Control: The Baggies are strong contenders for the playoffs, finishing inside the top six in 62.8% of simulations.

Playoff Contenders:

  • Coventry, Sunderland, Hull, and Watford: These four teams are all hovering around the 20% chance mark for snagging a playoff spot. Sunderland’s recent dip has caused their odds to drop, while Hull’s Boxing Day win against them gave them a boost.
  • Michael Beale’s Impact: Sunderland’s new head coach has a tough task ahead. While their relegation risk has slightly increased to 25.6%, their recent form shows potential for improvement.

Relegation Zone:

  • Rotherham Sinking: The Millers are looking increasingly likely to drop down to League One, with their relegation odds skyrocketing to 93.6%.
  • Sheffield Wednesday Rising: Under Danny Röhl’s leadership, the Owls are showing signs of life. Although still at risk of relegation (91.9% chance), their improved form keeps them above the likes of QPR and Birmingham.
  • QPR’s Cautious Climb: While they’ve improved since Ainsworth’s departure, QPR remain in the danger zone with a 64.5% relegation risk. Losing key players like Ilias Chair won’t help their cause.

Also Read: Premier League Football News 2023-24: Hjolund scores first win to give Man United 3-2 win over ASTON Villa.

Plymouth’s Progress: Despite manager Schumacher’s departure, Plymouth have comfortably distanced themselves from the relegation zone, with only a 4.6% chance of dropping down.

The Opta-Simulated Table:

This table shows the average predicted finishing position for each team based on the 10,000 simulations: Championship Predictions 2023-24

RankTeamAverage Points
1thLeicester City101.7
2Ipswich Town89.4
3Southampton84.0
4Leeds United83.9
5West Brom73.8
6Sunderland68.4
7Coventry City67.9
8Middlesbrough67.6
9Hull City67.6
10Watford66.0
11Norwich City64.8
12Bristol City64.6
13Preston North End62.3
14Cardiff City62.0
15Blackburn Rovers60.3
16Swansea City59.0
17Plymouth Argyle54.7
18Stoke City53.2
19Millwall53.1
20Birmingham City52.6
21Huddersfield Town50.3
22Queens Park Rangers43.6
23Sheffield Wednesday37.7
24Rotherham United37.2
  1. Leicester City
  2. Ipswich Town
  3. Southampton
  4. Leeds United
  5. West Bromwich Albion
  6. Coventry City
  7. Sunderland
  8. Hull City
  9. Watford
  10. Middlesbrough
  11. Norwich City
  12. Bristol City
  13. Preston North End
  14. Cardiff City
  15. Blackburn Rovers
  16. Swansea City
  17. Stoke City
  18. Millwall
  19. Birmingham City
  20. Huddersfield Town
  21. Queens Park Rangers
  22. Sheffield Wednesday
  23. Rotherham United

This is just a snapshot of the Championship race as we approach the end of December. With plenty of twists and turns still to come, buckle up for an exciting second half of the season!


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